Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Oct 22 · 6:00pm CT · Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC · ESPNU6:00pm CT
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Home
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
APP
JMU
Model
JMU -5.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
APP · JMU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • APP rating -5, JMU rating 3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to APP.
  • Predicted margin is JMU by 5.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

JMU

FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SDSU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WAG 87-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LIB 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ ORE 51-34 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. Wvs TROY 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5

APP

FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs CLT 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ECU 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ME 55-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs GASO 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
  5. Lvs ARST 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.