Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC11:00pm CT
GAST
Georgia State Panthers · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row
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APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Home
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
APP —
GAST —
GAST —
Model
APP -6.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
APP
APP — · GAST —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- APP rating -5, GAST rating -8.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to APP.
- Predicted margin is APP by 6.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is APP, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
GAST
- L@ UCF 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ KENN 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs NCAT 59-10 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ ODU 27-10 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TROY 31-19 · Sat, Nov 22
APP
- Wvs CLT 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ECU 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ME 55-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs GASO 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
- Lvs ARST 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.