Fri, Nov 27 · 2:00pm CT · Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL · ESPN+2:00pm CT
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
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USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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USA — APP —
Model
USA -0.1
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
USA — · APP — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
USA rating -7.4, APP rating -5.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to USA.
Predicted margin is USA by 0.1.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.4; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
APP
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
Wvs CLT 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
W@ ECU 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs ME 55-3 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs GASO 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
Lvs ARST 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
USA
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.4; home field +2.5).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.