Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR · ESPN+6:00pm CT
KENN
Kennesaw State Owls · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-112)
+195
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-108)
-238
Market vs model
Spread
ARST -6.5
ARST -6.5 (-108)
KENN +6.5 (-112)
KENN +6.5 (-112)
Model
ARST -3.3
Edge 3.2 pts KENN
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARST
ARST -238 · KENN +195
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARST rating -10.2, KENN rating -11.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARST.
- Predicted margin is ARST by 3.3.
- Edge is 3.2 points toward KENN.
- Edge 3.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 0.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ARST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
KENN
- L@ TENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs GAST 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WES 47-0 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs WMU 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
- W@ JVST 19-15 · Fri, Dec 5
ARST
- L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
- W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.