Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00pm CT · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA · ESPN+7:00pm CT
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
UL
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UL
ARST
Model
UL -7.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UL
UL · ARST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UL rating -5.5, ARST rating -10.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UL.
  • Predicted margin is UL by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ARST

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
  5. W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

UL

FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UAB 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ USC 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LAM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs DEL 20-13 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs ULM 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.