Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00pm CT · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA · ESPN+7:00pm CT
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
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UL
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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UL — ARST —
Model
UL -7.1
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UL
UL — · ARST — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
UL rating -5.5, ARST rating -10.2.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to UL.
Predicted margin is UL by 7.1.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is UL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARST
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
UL
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row
Wvs UAB 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ USC 49-30 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs LAM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs DEL 20-13 · Wed, Dec 17
Wvs ULM 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.