Game 401869933 · The Saturday Slate

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Thu, Oct 8 · 6:30pm CT · Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR6:30pm CT

USA

South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away

FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

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ARST

Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

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Market vs model

Spread

—

ARST —
USA —

Model

USA -0.3

Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only

ML / total

Pass

ARST — · USA —
Total — — no O/U pick

CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

ARST rating -10.2, USA rating -7.4.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to ARST.
Predicted margin is USA by 0.3.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USA

FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22

ARST

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.