Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 24 · 6:00pm CT · Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR6:00pm CT
GAST
Georgia State Panthers · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ARST
GAST
Model
ARST -1.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ARST · GAST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARST rating -10.2, GAST rating -8.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARST.
  • Predicted margin is ARST by 1.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

GAST

FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UCF 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ KENN 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NCAT 59-10 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ ODU 27-10 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TROY 31-19 · Sat, Nov 22

ARST

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
  5. W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.