Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 7 · 2:00pm CT · Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR2:00pm CT
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Away
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
—
—
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
ARST —
ULM —
ULM —
Model
ARST -14.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARST
ARST — · ULM —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARST rating -10.2, ULM rating -22.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARST.
- Predicted margin is ARST by 14.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ARST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ULM
- Lvs SELA 38-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UAB 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MSST 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ UL 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TXST 31-14 · Sat, Nov 22
ARST
- L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
- W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.