Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Brooks Stadium (SC) · Conway, SC11:00pm CT
ARST
Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row
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CCU
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
CCU —
ARST —
ARST —
Model
CCU -4.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CCU
CCU — · ARST —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CCU rating -8.3, ARST rating -10.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CCU.
- Predicted margin is CCU by 4.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CCU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARST
- L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
- W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
CCU
- L@ DEL 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs FOR 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ WVU 31-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs LT 23-14 · Tue, Dec 30
- Lvs JMU 59-10 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.