Game 401869939 · The Saturday Slate

← The board

Sat, Nov 28 · 2:00pm CT · Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR2:00pm CT

TROY

Troy Trojans · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away

FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row

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ARST

Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

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Market vs model

Spread

—

ARST —
TROY —

Model

TROY -1.6

Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only

ML / total

Pass

ARST — · TROY —
Total — — no O/U pick

CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

ARST rating -10.2, TROY rating -6.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to ARST.
Predicted margin is TROY by 1.6.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TROY

FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row

L@ MIZ 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs ALST 34-17 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs SHSU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs JVST 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16
L@ JMU 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5

ARST

FPI -10.2 · rank 111 · No CFBD row

L@ TCU 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs WES 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ MEM 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs MOST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
W@ APP 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.