Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA11:00pm CT
CCU
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row
GAST
Georgia State Panthers · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
GAST
CCU
Model
GAST -2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
GAST
GAST · CCU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • GAST rating -8.8, CCU rating -8.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to GAST.
  • Predicted margin is GAST by 2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is GAST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CCU

FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ DEL 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs FOR 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WVU 31-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs LT 23-14 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Lvs JMU 59-10 · Sat, Nov 29

GAST

FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UCF 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ KENN 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NCAT 59-10 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ ODU 27-10 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TROY 31-19 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.