Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA11:00pm CT
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
GASO
Georgia Southern Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.8 · rank 101 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
GASO
MRSH
Model
GASO -6.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
GASO
GASO · MRSH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • GASO rating -7.8, MRSH rating -11.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to GASO.
  • Predicted margin is GASO by 6.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is GASO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MRSH

FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MOST 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MTSU 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PSU 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs GASO 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ APP 26-24 · Sat, Nov 22

GASO

FPI -7.8 · rank 101 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ JXST 31-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ CLEM 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CHSO 31-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs APP 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
  5. W@ MRSH 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.