Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA · ESPN+Final
GAST
Georgia State Panthers · Sun Belt · 2-0 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-115)
+260
KENN
Kennesaw State Owls · C-USA · 1-1 · Home
FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-105)
-325

Market vs model

Spread
KENN -7.5
KENN -7.5 (-105)
GAST +7.5 (-115)
Model
KENN -0.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
KENN -325 · GAST +260
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KENN rating -11, GAST rating -8.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KENN.
  • Predicted margin is KENN by 0.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

GAST

FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

KENN

FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.2; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.