Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA · ESPNUFinal
LIB
Liberty Flames · C-USA · 0-1 · Away
FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row
+6 (-110)
+185
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
-6 (-110)
-225

Market vs model

Spread
JMU -6
JMU -6 (-110)
LIB +6 (-110)
Model
JMU -10.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
JMU -225 · LIB +185
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • JMU rating 3.2, LIB rating -4.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to JMU.
  • Predicted margin is JMU by 10.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIB

FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

JMU

FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.