Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 5:00pm CT · S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA · ESPN+5:00pm CT
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
-6 (-112)
-225
ODU
Old Dominion Monarchs · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row
+6 (-108)
+185

Market vs model

Spread
JMU -6
ODU +6 (-108)
JMU -6 (-112)
Model
JMU -8.1
Edge 2.1 pts JMU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
ODU +185 · JMU -225
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ODU rating -7.4, JMU rating 3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ODU.
  • Predicted margin is JMU by 8.1.
  • Edge is 2.1 points toward JMU.
  • Edge 2.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -10.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

JMU

FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SDSU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WAG 87-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LIB 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ ORE 51-34 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. Wvs TROY 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5

ODU

FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs ECU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ VT 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NORF 31-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs USF 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs GAST 27-10 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.