Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:45pm CT · Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA · ESPNU2:45pm CT
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Home
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
JMU
MRSH
Model
JMU -17.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
JMU · MRSH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • JMU rating 3.2, MRSH rating -11.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to JMU.
  • Predicted margin is JMU by 17.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 17.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MRSH

FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MOST 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MTSU 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PSU 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs GASO 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ APP 26-24 · Sat, Nov 22

JMU

FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SDSU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WAG 87-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LIB 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ ORE 51-34 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. Wvs TROY 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 17.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.