Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Oct 29 · 6:30pm CT · Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA6:30pm CT
TROY
Troy Trojans · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row
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JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Home
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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JMU —
TROY —
TROY —
Model
JMU -11.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
JMU — · TROY —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- JMU rating 3.2, TROY rating -6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to JMU.
- Predicted margin is JMU by 11.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TROY
- L@ MIZ 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ALST 34-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs SHSU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs JVST 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16
- L@ JMU 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5
JMU
- W@ SDSU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WAG 87-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LIB 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ ORE 51-34 · Sat, Dec 20
- Wvs TROY 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.