Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY · ESPN+6:00pm CT
MERC
Mercyhurst Lakers · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+38.5 (-110)
—
WKU
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · C-USA · 0-3 · Home
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
-38.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
WKU -38.5
WKU -38.5 (-110) MERC +38.5 (-110)
Model
WKU -0.2
Edge 38.3 pts MERC Thin data ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
WKU — · MERC — Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
WKU rating -14.3, MERC rating -12.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to WKU.
Predicted margin is WKU by 0.2.
Edge is 38.3 points toward MERC.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -2.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MERC
No FPI row · No CFBD row
Wvs GLN 49-20 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ UNM 70-7 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ NMSU 51-14 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ YSU 43-10 · Thu, Aug 27
L@ CCSU 35-28 · Sat, Nov 22
WKU
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
L@ IU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ UGA 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ NEV 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs USM 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
L@ JVST 37-34 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -2.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.