Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX · ESPN+Final
NICH
Nicholls Colonels · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+21 (-110)
—
SHSU
Sam Houston Bearkats · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row
-21 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
SHSU -21
SHSU -21 (-110)
NICH +21 (-110)
NICH +21 (-110)
Model
SHSU -5.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SHSU
SHSU — · NICH —
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SHSU rating -8.9, NICH rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SHSU.
- Predicted margin is SHSU by 5.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is SHSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NICH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SHSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.