Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 14 · 1:00pm CT · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX1:00pm CT
KENN
Kennesaw State Owls · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row
SHSU
Sam Houston Bearkats · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SHSU
KENN
Model
SHSU -4.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SHSU
SHSU · KENN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SHSU rating -8.9, KENN rating -11.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SHSU.
  • Predicted margin is SHSU by 4.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is SHSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

KENN

FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs GAST 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WES 47-0 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs WMU 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. W@ JVST 19-15 · Fri, Dec 5

SHSU

FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NICH 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TLSA 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TROY 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs FIU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ MTSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.