Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00pm CT · Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM4:00pm CT
LIB
Liberty Flames · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row
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NMSU
New Mexico State Aggies · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 123 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NMSU —
LIB —
LIB —
Model
LIB -6.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LIB
NMSU — · LIB —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NMSU rating -13.5, LIB rating -4.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NMSU.
- Predicted margin is LIB by 6.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LIB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LIB
- Wvs BALL 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GWEB 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ JMU 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs KENN 48-42 2OT · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ LT 34-28 OT · Sat, Nov 22
NMSU
- L@ HAW 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MERC 51-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ FSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs MTSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ UTEP 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.