Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV · ESPN+Final
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 1-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
+11.5 (-108)
+350
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 1-1 · Home
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
-11.5 (-112)
-455
Market vs model
Spread
MRSH -11.5
MRSH -11.5 (-112)
MTSU +11.5 (-108)
MTSU +11.5 (-108)
Model
MRSH -3.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MRSH
MRSH -455 · MTSU +350
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MRSH rating -11.9, MTSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MRSH.
- Predicted margin is MRSH by 3.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MRSH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MTSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MRSH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.