Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Robert W. Plaster Stadium · Springfield, MO · ESPN+Final
LIN
Lindenwood Lions · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-108)
+600
MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-1 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-112)
-900

Market vs model

Spread
MOST -16.5
MOST -16.5 (-112)
LIN +16.5 (-108)
Model
MOST -1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MOST -900 · LIN +600
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MOST rating -13.5, LIN rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MOST.
  • Predicted margin is MOST by 1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIN

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

MOST

FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.