Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 5:30pm CT · Robert W. Plaster Stadium · Springfield, MO · CBSSNFinal
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
-4 (-110)
-192
MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
+4 (-110)
+160
Market vs model
Spread
MRSH -4
MOST +4 (-110)
MRSH -4 (-110)
MRSH -4 (-110)
Model
MOST -1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MOST +160 · MRSH -192
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MOST rating -13.5, MRSH rating -11.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MOST.
- Predicted margin is MOST by 1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MRSH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MOST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.5).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.