Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL · ESPN+6:00pm CT
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
+7 (-108)
+230
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 2-2 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row
-7 (-112)
-285

Market vs model

Spread
JXST -7
JXST -7 (-112)
MTSU +7 (-108)
Model
JXST -6.8
Edge 0.2 pts MTSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JXST
JXST -285 · MTSU +230
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • JXST rating -8.9, MTSU rating -13.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to JXST.
  • Predicted margin is JXST by 6.8.
  • Edge is 0.2 points toward MTSU.
  • Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MTSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22

JXST

FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GASO 31-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ OHIO 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs EKU 49-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ NDSU 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Wvs TROY 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML