Thu, Oct 8 · 6:00pm CT · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY · CBSSN6:00pm CT
MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
—
—
WKU
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · C-USA · 0-3 · Home
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
WKU — MOST —
Model
WKU -1.6
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
WKU — · MOST — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
WKU rating -14.3, MOST rating -13.5.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to WKU.
Predicted margin is WKU by 1.6.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MOST
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
Lvs MRSH 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs LIN 48-14 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ TA&M 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs ARST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
Lvs LT 42-30 · Sat, Nov 29
WKU
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
L@ IU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ UGA 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ NEV 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs USM 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
L@ JVST 37-34 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.5).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.