Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Oct 8 · 6:00pm CT · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY · CBSSN6:00pm CT
MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
WKU
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · C-USA · 0-3 · Home
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
WKU
MOST
Model
WKU -1.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
WKU · MOST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WKU rating -14.3, MOST rating -13.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WKU.
  • Predicted margin is WKU by 1.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MOST

FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MRSH 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LIN 48-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TA&M 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ARST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
  5. Lvs LT 42-30 · Sat, Nov 29

WKU

FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ IU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UGA 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ NEV 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs USM 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. L@ JVST 37-34 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.