Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Tue, Oct 20 · 6:00pm CT · Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL · CBSSN6:00pm CT
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
FIU
Florida International Panthers · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FIU
MTSU
Model
FIU -4.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FIU
FIU · MTSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FIU rating -10.8, MTSU rating -13.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FIU.
  • Predicted margin is FIU by 4.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is FIU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MTSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22

FIU

FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs BUFF 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USF 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UTSA 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. W@ SHSU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.