Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Oct 22 · 6:00pm CT · Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA · CBSSN6:00pm CT
LIB
Liberty Flames · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row
KENN
Kennesaw State Owls · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
KENN
LIB
Model
LIB -4.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LIB
KENN · LIB
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KENN rating -11, LIB rating -4.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KENN.
  • Predicted margin is LIB by 4.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 4.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LIB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIB

FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs BALL 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GWEB 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ JMU 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs KENN 48-42 2OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ LT 34-28 OT · Sat, Nov 22

KENN

FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs GAST 31-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WES 47-0 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs WMU 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. W@ JVST 19-15 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 4.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.