Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00pm CT · Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM · ESPN27:00pm CT
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 2-2 · Away
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row
NMSU
New Mexico State Aggies · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 123 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NMSU
JXST
Model
JXST -2.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JXST
NMSU · JXST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NMSU rating -13.5, JXST rating -8.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to NMSU.
  • Predicted margin is JXST by 2.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

JXST

FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GASO 31-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ OHIO 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs EKU 49-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ NDSU 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Wvs TROY 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16

NMSU

FPI -13.5 · rank 123 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ HAW 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs MERC 51-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. L@ FSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs MTSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. W@ UTEP 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.