Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Tue, Oct 13 · 6:00pm CT · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN · CBSSN6:00pm CT
DEL
Delaware Blue Hens · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Home
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MTSU
DEL
Model
DEL -6.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DEL
MTSU · DEL
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MTSU rating -13.2, DEL rating -4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MTSU.
  • Predicted margin is DEL by 6.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is DEL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

DEL

FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs CCU 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ VAN 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MRMK 42-7 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs UL 20-13 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs UTEP 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29

MTSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.