Tue, Oct 13 · 6:00pm CT · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN · CBSSN6:00pm CT
DEL
Delaware Blue Hens · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
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MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Home
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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MTSU — DEL —
Model
DEL -6.7
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DEL
MTSU — · DEL — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
MTSU rating -13.2, DEL rating -4.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to MTSU.
Predicted margin is DEL by 6.7.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.2; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is DEL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
DEL
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
Wvs CCU 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ VAN 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs MRMK 42-7 · Thu, Sep 3
Wvs UL 20-13 · Wed, Dec 17
Wvs UTEP 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
MTSU
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 6.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.