Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Tue, Oct 27 · 7:00pm CT · Robert W. Plaster Stadium · Springfield, MO · ESPN27:00pm CT
SHSU
Sam Houston Bearkats · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row
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MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
MOST —
SHSU —
SHSU —
Model
SHSU -2.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SHSU
MOST — · SHSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MOST rating -13.5, SHSU rating -8.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MOST.
- Predicted margin is SHSU by 2.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is SHSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SHSU
- Wvs NICH 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs TLSA 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ TROY 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs FIU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ MTSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22
MOST
- Lvs MRSH 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs LIN 48-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ TA&M 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ARST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
- Lvs LT 42-30 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.