Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 1:00pm CT · AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL1:00pm CT
MOST
Missouri State Bears · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 2-2 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
JXST
MOST
Model
JXST -7.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JXST
JXST · MOST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • JXST rating -8.9, MOST rating -13.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to JXST.
  • Predicted margin is JXST by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is JXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MOST

FPI -13.5 · rank 121 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MRSH 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LIN 48-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TA&M 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ARST 34-28 · Thu, Dec 18
  5. Lvs LT 42-30 · Sat, Nov 29

JXST

FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GASO 31-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ OHIO 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs EKU 49-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ NDSU 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Wvs TROY 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.