Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 12:00pm CT · Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg, VA12:00pm CT
WKU
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · C-USA · 0-3 · Away
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
LIB
Liberty Flames · C-USA · 2-1 · Home
FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
LIB
WKU
Model
LIB -12.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LIB
LIB · WKU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • LIB rating -4.4, WKU rating -14.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to LIB.
  • Predicted margin is LIB by 12.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LIB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WKU

FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ IU 38-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UGA 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ NEV 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs USM 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. L@ JVST 37-34 · Sat, Nov 29

LIB

FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs BALL 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GWEB 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ JMU 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs KENN 48-42 2OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ LT 34-28 OT · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.