Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 21 · 1:00pm CT · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX1:00pm CT
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
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SHSU
Sam Houston Bearkats · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
SHSU —
MTSU —
MTSU —
Model
SHSU -6.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SHSU
SHSU — · MTSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SHSU rating -8.9, MTSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SHSU.
- Predicted margin is SHSU by 6.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is SHSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MTSU
- Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22
SHSU
- Wvs NICH 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs TLSA 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ TROY 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs FIU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ MTSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.