Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL11:00pm CT
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Away
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
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TROY
Troy Trojans · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
TROY —
ULM —
ULM —
Model
TROY -19.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TROY
TROY — · ULM —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TROY rating -6, ULM rating -22.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TROY.
- Predicted margin is TROY by 19.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 19.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TROY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ULM
- Lvs SELA 38-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UAB 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MSST 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ UL 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TXST 31-14 · Sat, Nov 22
TROY
- L@ MIZ 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ALST 34-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs SHSU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs JVST 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16
- L@ JMU 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 19.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.