Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA11:00pm CT
USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
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ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Home
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ULM —
USM —
USM —
Model
USM -7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USM
ULM — · USM —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ULM rating -22.6, USM rating -13.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ULM.
- Predicted margin is USM by 7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USM
- Lvs CONN 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ AUB 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ALCN 49-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WKU 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
- Lvs TROY 28-18 · Sat, Nov 29
ULM
- Lvs SELA 38-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UAB 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MSST 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ UL 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TXST 31-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.