Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL11:00pm CT
LT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
USA
LT
Model
USA -2.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USA
USA · LT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USA rating -7.4, LT rating -7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USA.
  • Predicted margin is USA by 2.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LT

FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ BAY 36-19 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ LSU 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NWST 80-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs CCU 23-14 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. W@ MOST 42-30 · Sat, Nov 29

USA

FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.