Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL11:00pm CT
TROY
Troy Trojans · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
USA
TROY
Model
USA -1.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
USA · TROY
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USA rating -7.4, TROY rating -6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USA.
  • Predicted margin is USA by 1.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TROY

FPI -6 · rank 95 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MIZ 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ALST 34-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs SHSU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs JVST 17-13 · Tue, Dec 16
  5. L@ JMU 31-14 · Fri, Dec 5

USA

FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.