Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS11:00pm CT
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
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USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
USM —
USA —
USA —
Model
USA -3.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USA
USM — · USA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USM rating -13.1, USA rating -7.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USM.
- Predicted margin is USA by 3.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 3.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USA
- Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22
USM
- Lvs CONN 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ AUB 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ALCN 49-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WKU 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
- Lvs TROY 28-18 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 3.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.