Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA11:00pm CT
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Home
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ULM
MRSH
Model
MRSH -8.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MRSH
ULM · MRSH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ULM rating -22.6, MRSH rating -11.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ULM.
  • Predicted margin is MRSH by 8.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MRSH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MRSH

FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MOST 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MTSU 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PSU 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs GASO 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ APP 26-24 · Sat, Nov 22

ULM

FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs SELA 38-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UAB 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MSST 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UL 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TXST 31-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.