Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA11:00pm CT
USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
ODU
Old Dominion Monarchs · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ODU
USM
Model
ODU -8.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ODU
ODU · USM
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ODU rating -7.4, USM rating -13.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ODU.
  • Predicted margin is ODU by 8.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ODU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USM

FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs CONN 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ AUB 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ALCN 49-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WKU 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. Lvs TROY 28-18 · Sat, Nov 29

ODU

FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs ECU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ VT 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NORF 31-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs USF 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs GAST 27-10 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.