The Sunday Slate

Market vs model

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

• LAR rating 4.7, SF rating 7.3.
• Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
• Neutral site, so home field is 0.
• Predicted margin is SF by 2.7.
• There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
• Model away 2.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.7; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
• Moneyline ticket is SF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
• No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

Injuries

• QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
• Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
• Injured ReserveC.J. West · San Francisco 49ers
• QuestionableMike Evans · San Francisco 49ers
• QuestionableRomello Height · San Francisco 49ers
• DoubtfulJames Thompson Jr. · San Francisco 49ers
• OutDemarcus Robinson · San Francisco 49ers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.