Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 13 · 12:00pm CT · Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC · FOXFinal
CHI
Chicago Bears · NFC North · 1-0 · Away
FPI -0.5 · rank -1.034 · No nflverse EPA
-3 (-112)
-166
CAR
Carolina Panthers · NFC South · 0-1 · Home
FPI -1.4 · rank -0.828 · No nflverse EPA
+3 (-108)
+140
Bank of America Stadium at kickoff: 60°F, wind 8 mph, gusts 18 mph, 2% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
CHI -3
CAR +3 (-108)
CHI -3 (-112)
Model
CAR -1.5
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
CAR +140 · CHI -166
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • CAR rating -1.4, CHI rating -0.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to CAR.
  • Predicted margin is CAR by 1.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

CHI

FPI -0.5 · rank -1.034 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CAR

FPI -1.4 · rank -0.828 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableJaelan Phillips · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableNick Scott · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableDevin Lloyd · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableJalen Coker · Carolina Panthers
  • Injured ReserveJonathon Brooks · Carolina Panthers
  • Injured ReserveAnthony Johnson Jr. · Chicago Bears
  • OutShemar Turner · Chicago Bears
  • OutNoah Sewell · Chicago Bears
  • QuestionableKyle Monangai · Chicago Bears
  • QuestionableTyson Bagent · Chicago Bears

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model home 1.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.