Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 13 · 12:00pm CT · Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN · CBSFinal
NYJ
New York Jets · AFC East · 1-0 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-115)
-102
TEN
Tennessee Titans · AFC South · 0-1 · Home
FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-105)
-118
Nissan Stadium at kickoff: 71°F, wind 6 mph, gusts 9 mph, 0% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
TEN -1.5
TEN -1.5 (-105)
NYJ +1.5 (-115)
Model
TEN -0.9
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
TEN -118 · NYJ -102
Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • TEN rating -4.7, NYJ rating -3.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to TEN.
  • Predicted margin is TEN by 0.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

NYJ

FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

TEN

FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableCor'Dale Flott · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTony Pollard · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTyjae Spears · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableSolomon Thomas · Tennessee Titans
  • Injured ReserveMilo Eifler · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableKene Nwangwu · New York Jets
  • QuestionableMinkah Fitzpatrick · New York Jets
  • QuestionableJoseph Ossai · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveArian Smith · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveDavid Onyemata · New York Jets

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.