Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 13 · 3:25pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · FOX · IndoorFinal
MIA
Miami Dolphins · AFC East · 0-1 · Away
FPI -8 · rank -4.238 · No nflverse EPA
+3 (-110)
+142
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 1-0 · Home
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
-3 (-110)
-170
Allegiant Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LV -3
LV -3 (-110)
MIA +3 (-110)
Model
LV -7.4
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LV
LV -170 · MIA +142
Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LV rating -3, MIA rating -8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LV.
  • Predicted margin is LV by 7.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

MIA

FPI -8 · rank -4.238 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

LV

FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableRobert Beal Jr. · Miami Dolphins
  • QuestionableRyan Miller · Miami Dolphins
  • QuestionableJaylen Wright · Miami Dolphins
  • QuestionableChop Robinson · Miami Dolphins
  • QuestionableJuJu Brents · Miami Dolphins

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model home 7.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML