Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 13 · 3:25pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · FOXFinal
WSH
Washington Commanders · NFC East · 0-1 · Away
FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA
+6 (-110)
+195
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 1-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
-6 (-110)
-238
Lincoln Financial Field at kickoff: 65°F, wind 10 mph, gusts 20 mph, 0% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
PHI -6
PHI -6 (-110)
WSH +6 (-110)
Model
PHI -7.1
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
PHI
PHI -238 · WSH +195
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • PHI rating 1.5, WSH rating -3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to PHI.
  • Predicted margin is PHI by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is PHI, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

WSH

FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

PHI

FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
  • DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableJeremy Reaves · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableLeo Chenal · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableFrankie Luvu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableCharles Omenihu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableTyler Owens · Washington Commanders

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML