Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 13 · 7:20pm CT · MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ · NBCFinal
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 0-1 · Away
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
-3 (-112)
-166
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-0 · Home
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+3 (-108)
+140
MetLife Stadium at kickoff: 64°F, wind 11 mph, gusts 27 mph, 0% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
DAL -3
NYG +3 (-108)
DAL -3 (-112)
Model
DAL -7.3
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DAL
NYG +140 · DAL -166
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • NYG rating -6.6, DAL rating 3.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to NYG.
  • Predicted margin is DAL by 7.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is DAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

DAL

FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

NYG

FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
  • QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
  • QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
  • QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
  • QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
  • DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML