Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00pm CT · MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ · FOXFinal/OT
GB
Green Bay Packers · NFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-108)
-185
NYJ
New York Jets · AFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-112)
+154
MetLife Stadium at kickoff: 64°F, wind 11 mph, gusts 27 mph, 0% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
GB -3.5
NYJ +3.5 (-112)
GB -3.5 (-108)
Model
GB -1.4
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
NYJ +154 · GB -185
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • NYJ rating -3.3, GB rating 0.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to NYJ.
  • Predicted margin is GB by 1.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

GB

FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

NYJ

FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableKene Nwangwu · New York Jets
  • QuestionableMinkah Fitzpatrick · New York Jets
  • QuestionableJoseph Ossai · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveArian Smith · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveDavid Onyemata · New York Jets
  • OutAaron Banks · Green Bay Packers
  • OutWarren Brinson · Green Bay Packers
  • QuestionableJavon Hargrave · Green Bay Packers
  • OutJayden Reed · Green Bay Packers
  • OutZach Bako-Bewele · Green Bay Packers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model away 1.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.