Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00pm CT · M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore, MD · CBSFinal
NO
New Orleans Saints · NFC South · 1-1 · Away
FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA
+8.5 (-115)
+285
BAL
Baltimore Ravens · AFC North · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.1 · rank 3.424 · No nflverse EPA
-8.5 (-105)
-360
M&T Bank Stadium at kickoff: 60°F, wind 7 mph, gusts 17 mph, 0% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
BAL -8.5
BAL -8.5 (-105)
NO +8.5 (-115)
Model
BAL -7.1
Edge —
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
BAL
BAL -360 · NO +285
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • BAL rating 4.1, NO rating -0.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to BAL.
  • Predicted margin is BAL by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is BAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

NO

FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

BAL

FPI 4.1 · rank 3.424 · No nflverse EPA

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

  • QuestionableChris Moore · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableRonnie Stanley · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableZion Young · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableJohn Simpson · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableMalaki Starks · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableChristen Miller · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableChase Young · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableJonas Sanker · New Orleans Saints
  • Injured ReserveKelvin Banks Jr. · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableNathan Shepherd · New Orleans Saints

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML