The Sunday Slate

Market vs model

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

• LAR rating 4.7, NYG rating -6.6.
• Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
• Home field adds 2.4 to LAR.
• Predicted margin is LAR by 13.7.
• There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
• Model home 13.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
• Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
• No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

Injuries

• QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
• Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
• QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
• QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
• QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
• QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
• QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.